Document:The Balkans: Courruption as a Weapon of War, the Vulnerabilities to Corruption and Malign Influence

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Awareness of Chinese, Turkish and V4 influence in non-EU Balkan States, and associated potential risks to be mitigated and opportunities that might be exploited; mitigating Russian (and associated) malign influence

Disclaimer (#3)Document.png project proposal  by Euan Grant dated 17 10 2018
Subjects: Balkans, influence, Russia
Example of: Integrity Initiative/Leak/6
Source: Anonymous (- Balkans AC Effort (Draft) - 140818 Link)

The Anonymous file is named 'draft'. The format has been edited for clarity

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Document:The Balkans: Courruption as a Weapon of War, the Vulnerabilities to Corruption and Malign Influence


INTEGRITY INITIATIVE

THE BALKANS: CORRUPTION AS A WEAPON OF WAR, THE VULNERABILITIES TO CORRUPTION AND MALIGN INFLUENCE

CONTEXT

Six Balkan countries[1] wishing to accede to EU. Russian hostility to proposal + traditional Soviet ties. Already severe fragility in region catalyzed by hard-line nationalist groups (all sides) and corruption (posing threat to European core values /undermining democracy), and exacerbated by poverty and high unemployment (esp. youth). NATO-related issues[2] (esp. with new accession possibilities) and interests in region of China, Turkey, Gulf States and V4

OUTPUTS

1. Awareness of policy / strategy trajectories of non-EU Balkan States, and alignment (or otherwise) and supportiveness to EU policy and strategy

2. Awareness of the vulnerability to corruption of non-EU Balkan States, and corrupt practice that undermines their democratic processes

3. Awareness of Russian (and other) malign influence and strategic thinking in / for the non-EU Balkan States

4. Awareness of Chinese, Turkish and V4 influence in non-EU Balkan States, and associated potential risks to be mitigated and opportunities that might be exploited

OUTCOMES

1. Understanding of the nature and extent of corruption and malign influence, and vulnerabilities to corruption and malign influence (particularly Russian) that have the potential to / are leading to the undermining of democracy and creation of fragility in the non-EU Balkan States

2. EU policy / strategy considerations in pursuing accession of non-EU Balkan States and the mitigation of risks to the process

IMPACT

Guidance to UK policy and strategy to support eliminating vulnerabilities to corruption in non-EU Balkan States, fighting corruption and mitigating Russian (and associated) malign influence

  1. ↑ Serbia, Bosnia, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, Albania
  2. ↑ Currently Albania is a full NATO member and Montenegro is a prospective member
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